THH – Musings on a bunch of juniors
My personal thoughts on multiple juniors below. Note that I own shares of all companies and some are banner sponsors. Thus consider me biased!
Condor Resources
Looks likely to have hit something on the first hole into the HSE system at Pucamayo East. Also appears to be trying to drill into a porphyry while drilling the HSE system. Longer holes, a bit longer time frame, but potential for two discoveries in one campaign. The HSE system is a tier 1 target in my book. I am very biased as I own a very large amount of shares.
Hercules Silver
While maybe not as quick to prove up as Condor I would put it in the category of Condor/Snowline type conviction plays but with lower risk given the silver resource already in hand. Really like this one right now.
Barsele Minerals
Barsele is incredibly cheap in my opinion as the company owns 45% of the largest undeveloped gold project in Scandinavia. Agnico Eagle owns the other 55%. I think the company is doing raise now and I plan to participate and add to my holdings.
Goliath Resources
Looks to be maybe one of the best gold/silver discoveries in Canada last few years. Not pricing in anywhere near even a tier 3 mine. Cheap in my book.
Western Alaska
I think they already have around ~100 Mo of high grade AgEQ and an entire CRD/porphyry district to explore. Market is totally whack in my opinion. Cheap.
Red Pine Exploration
One of my newest sponsors and one of my favorite advanced explorers right now.
Inflection Resources
While I had hoped that the wildcat holes around the Duck Creek area would have turned up some smoke I think the market is totally out of touch. Duck Creek North will see more geophysical surveys which will take a bit of time. This should obviously help in pin pointing where the porphyry actually is and thus would increase the chance of success to find it in the not too distant future. Furthermore it sounds like they are pretty much into the out shell of a porphyry at Myallmundi. Yet the MCAP is C$15 M which is pricing in say a 6% chance of finding something worth $1 B (Where Inflection gets to keep 25% after carried to PFS + NSRs). Crazy reward potential given that they might be close to two porphyries already IMO.
Brixton Metals
Not a true bulls eye yet at Camp Creek but the system is wide open and could be absolutely huge. Trapper returned some decent hits but not the quantum leap kind of results which might have put it towards being the flagship project. Ivanhoe Electric appears to have success over at Hog Heaven where they are have an earn in agreement with Brixton. All in all very cheap based on the sum of its parts and all projects are in tier 1 jurisdiction. Basically a real estate play with 3 incipient discoveries to boot.
NevGold
Two good looking projects in good jurisdictions. Both projects have resources in the ground already. This, like Red Pine, is a good story for anyone who wants both beta and alpha. It’s cheap which is most important.
Trigon Metals
If the copper price does not crash and the company is able to run a relatively smooth operation then C$35 M could look quite cheap some day given the growth profile.
Magna Mining
Nickel sulphide deposits are rare. Advanced nickel sulphide deposits in the best jurisdictions are extremely rare. Dirt cheap.
Fathom Nickel
Again, nickel sulphides are very rare. Fathom controls one district and one mega district scale nickel projects. Dirt cheap even though they are quite early stage IMO.
Altamira Gold
After the ongoing Private Placement is done I expect the company to quickly put in the first ever deep holes into the Maria Bonita target. This is a Snowline/Lavras Gold type intrusion target where the mineralization starts from surface. Preliminary metallurgical results have been encouraging and Brazil seems to be one of few jurisdictions in the world where one can relatively easy permit a mine to boot.
Tectonic Metals
Still waiting for the first (modern) holes into the giant gold target they have up in Alaska. If things go well then Tectonic could become one of the hotter stories in the gold space in the not too distant future. Quantum leap potential and thankfully we already know the big system is gold bearing thanks to limited historical drilling.
Juggernaut Exploration
Waiting for assays (encouraging visuals)
Eskay Mining
Waiting for assays. It sounded like some holes had at least interesting visuals. What this story needs, especially in this environment, is a bona fide (new) discovery.
Eloro/Cartier Silver
Both got slammed big time after Eloro’s resource showed lower total grade than many expected. Eloro’s resource will no doubt get quite a bit better with more drilling but until further notice it is a big beta play in light of the huge but low grade resource. Cartier has kinda made a decent discovery hole already and looks to be quite cheap. With that said it is very early stage and thus a high risk/high reward scenario.
Headwater Gold
Waiting for assays (encouraging visuals at multiple projects)
Core Assets
Doing a PP. I will try to participate. Early stage exploration but from a real estate perspective it is attractive… Huge land position in Canada with potentially CRD and porphyry targets.
Pacific Ridge
Basically left for dead for some reason (Shitty market mostly I guess). PEX has not had the flashiest porphyry results and that is basically needed in the worst market since 2015. Things will change some day of course. Anyway, PEX looks cheap in light of Kliyul and their other projects.
Irving Resources
The delineated sinter resource can fetch some value to a smelter company but won’t be enough to be a company maker I suspect. The Omu Project sure has potential but so far the slam dunk, barn burner holes one would expect to find somewhere in LSE systems have eluded the company. Yamagano on the other hand could be a company maker with the help of Newmont and that is yet to be drilled.
Note: Not investing advice.
Eskay does themselves no favors every year releasing all the assay results in a few press releases. They leave no time for the market sentiment to grow and draw people in. Exploration companies live and die on newsflow and 3 or so releases for the year is not enough shots on goal to let the stock run on good news before you are already done and you have to raise more money for the following year.
Lately it has not made much difference either way though as everything is getting whacked whether its bad news, good news, amazing news, or no news.
So many of these juniors have absolutely gone nowhere…..come out with promising news releases, get pumped by people like Quentin H, Bob Moriarity and others, burn through a lot of cash, struggle with zealous plans ( like Novo) , then downgrade prior expected news….raise more cash by issuing more shares, and the shareholders are the bag holders. I e been burned by Samex, Golden Minerals, Elero, Eskay, Novo and many others ….
What a racket
It has been a >3 year long bear market. Maybe <5% of people have made money in the miners. In a bull market you make money on all miners and <5% actually lose money.
The banking cartel is in complete control. Truly wish I had never been so gullible to invest money in these terrible companies!!!!
today was another perfect example of how the manipulation knows no end: Gold was up $13+, and the miners couldn’t fight their way out of a paper bag!
Thanks again for insightful informative information. Not long now before we see gold in different light. Watch going into the end of October into November.
Things are starting an interesting period for gold & silver.
With gold going over $2,000 the mining sector is looking increasingly silly in terms of valuations. The next big change will be up but I do not know when it will start (should start yesterday)
We are close to have gold breaking out to a All Time High and that will certainly cause a mean reversion in the junior sector. I agree with what you are writing and I would not be surprised to see some of the companies make big discoveries. That combined with a mean reversion in the sektor could cause some of the juniors to see serious gains. Just one or two success stories is all it takes..
A bull is just a matter of time. There sure are a lot of reasons for why there should be a move up in miners already.